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Previewing Austin FC, 5/3/26

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92 min read
2026 MLS · Next Match
ATX
Austin (H)
Q2 Stadium
·
Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 4:30 PM CDT
STL
St. Louis (A)
Season Stats
ATX
STL
12th (W)Pos14th (W)
2-4-4Record1-5-3
10Pts6
10GP9
14GF9
19GA16
-5GD-7
1.40G/G1.00
1.90GA/G1.78
1.18xGF/G1.53
2.32xGA/G1.34
-1.14xGD/G+0.19
0.89xPts/G1.48
347.1 (84%)Passes/G421.4 (85%)
11.6 (40%)Long Balls/G14.2 (47%)
4.0 (27%)Crosses/G4.6 (20%)
8.0Intercept/G11.7
12.7Tackles/G15.0
14.33PPDA12.93
vs Expected
+0.22Fin+/--0.53
+0.42Def+/--0.44
+0.11Pts+/--0.81
Form · Last 5
ATX
D
2–2
@ MIA
Apr 4
L
1–2
vs LAG
Apr 11
D
3–3
@ TOR
Apr 18
L
1–5
@ SJE
Apr 22
W
2–0
vs HOU
Apr 25
xG Trend
0.03.06.01.53.4Apr 41.01.0Apr 111.83.4Apr 180.85.7Apr 220.81.0Apr 25
xGF
xGA
STL
W
3–1
vs NER
Mar 21
D
1–1
@ NYC
Apr 4
D
1–1
@ FCD
Apr 11
L
1–4
@ SEA
Apr 18
L
2–3
vs SJE
Apr 25
xG Trend
0.01.53.01.30.9Mar 211.62.0Apr 41.11.6Apr 110.81.8Apr 182.71.6Apr 25
xGF
xGA
Key Players
ATX
PosPlayerG+AxGxPlaceG+
STMyrto Uzuni32.73-0.13-1.26
STChristian Ramírez22.350.09-0.00
WFacundo Torres51.980.07-0.37
WJayden Nelson20.910.72-0.07
CBBrendan Hines-Ike10.780.04-0.31
STL
PosPlayerG+AxGxPlaceG+
AMMarcel Hartel43.460.37+0.78
STSimon Becher32.66-1.48-0.51
AMBrendan McSorley11.240.89+0.32
WCedric Teuchert01.14-0.63+0.41
CMChris Durkin11.08-0.03-0.24
Match Prediction
Poisson · form-weighted · 1.37× ATX home adv
ATX win
38%
draw
21%
STL win
41%
xGoals – ATX
1.9
Expected Pts – STL
1.4
xGoals – STL
1.9
SOCCERDATAVIZER.COMData: American Soccer Analysis, SofaScore, ESPN
Soccer Datavizer
Austin FC
Austin FC
2026 · 2W-4L-4D · 10 pts · 10 GP · 12th(W)
STL vs ATX (2024–2026)
4W·1L·1D
|GF 15GA 96 meetings
W3–1AOct 4 '25
L0–1HMar 30 '25
W1–0HApr 14 '24
D2–2AMar 9 '24
W6–3HAug 20 '23
W3–2AFeb 25 '23
Season Arc

Cumulative points vs expected points

+0.5 pts vs expectation
10 pts · 9.5 xPts · 10 GP
04711Feb 21Mar 1Mar 7Mar 14Mar 21Apr 4Apr 11Apr 18Apr 22Apr 25
Actual Pts
Expected Pts
Attacking Threat
Goals / Game1.40
xGF / Game1.18
psxG / Game1.36
Shooting Goals Added / Game+0.17
Defending Profile
Goals Allowed / Game1.90
xGA / Game2.32
Goals Prevented / Game-0.54
PPDA14.33
vs Expected
xGD/G1.18 xGF vs 2.32 xGA-1.14
Finishing +/-/G1.40 G vs 1.18 xG+0.22
Defensive +/-/G1.90 GA vs 2.32 xGA+0.42
xPts luck/G1.00 Pts vs 0.89 xPts+0.11
1H v 2H Splits
1H
2H
Δ (2H–1H)
xGF / Game
0.53
0.67
+0.13
Goals / Game
0.60
0.70
+0.10
xGA / Game
0.69
1.69
+1.00
Goals Allowed / Game
0.40
1.40
+1.00
Form · Last 5
D
2–2
@ MIA
Apr 4
L
1–2
vs LAG
Apr 11
D
3–3
@ TOR
Apr 18
L
1–5
@ SJE
Apr 22
W
2–0
vs HOU
Apr 25
GF/G
1.80
GA/G
2.40
xGF/G
1.15
xGA/G
2.90
xG Trend
0.03.06.01.53.4Apr 41.01.0Apr 111.83.4Apr 180.85.7Apr 220.81.0Apr 25
xGF
xGA
Set Piece Efficiency
AttackingDefending
ShotsxGGoalsG−xGShotsxGGoalsG−xG
Corner251.723+1.28303.205+1.80
Free Kick30.251+0.7580.510-0.51
Set Play70.772+1.2360.480-0.48
Penalty––––10.781+0.22
Total352.756+3.25454.976+1.03
Key Players
PosPlayerG+AxGxPlaceG+
STMyrto Uzuni32.73-0.13-1.26
STChristian Ramírez22.350.09-0.00
WFacundo Torres51.980.07-0.37
WJayden Nelson20.910.72-0.07
CBBrendan Hines-Ike10.780.04-0.31
DMIlie Sánchez00.71-0.10+0.35
WJoseph Rosales20.530.22-0.63
FBGuilherme Biro10.440.24-0.01
CBJon Bell20.360.40+0.15
FBJon Gallagher10.290.30-0.17
Lineup Frequency
Formation · 10 GP
4-4-2
6×
4-2-3-1
4×
Starts
1
GBrad Stuver1,027 min
10
2
RMFacundo Torres958 min
10
3
LMJoseph Rosales921 min
10
4
RBJon Gallagher934 min
9
5
CD-ROleksandr Svatok915 min
9
6
CD-LBrendan Hines-Ike911 min
9
7
CF-LMyrto Uzuni885 min
9
8
CM-LIlie Sánchez590 min
8
9
LBGuilherme Biro560 min
7
10
CM-RNicolás Dubersarsky623 min
6
11
AM-LJayden Nelson424 min
6
SOCCERDATAVIZER.COMData: ASA, ESPN
Soccer Datavizer

Player to Watch: Brad Stuver

Brad Stuver is one of those goalkeepers who elevates an entire club’s identity just by the way he plays, and he's been a thorn in CITY's side for several years now. His shot‑stopping is consistently elite, not just in highlight‑reel moments but in the routine saves that keep Austin FC in games. Everything that Roman Burki is for CITY, Brad Stuver is for Austin - the defensive anchor, a leader, and the key to any success Austin may have this season.

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